Brandon East is a provincial electoral division in the Canadian province of Manitoba. It encompasses half of the City of Brandon, the other half being represented in Brandon West.
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![]() Location in Brandon | |||
Provincial electoral district | |||
Legislature | Legislative Assembly of Manitoba | ||
MLA |
Progressive Conservative | ||
District created | 1968 | ||
First contested | 1969 | ||
Last contested | 2019 | ||
Demographics | |||
Population (2016) | 23,045 | ||
Electors (2019) | 14,292 | ||
Area (km²) | 43 | ||
Pop. density (per km²) | 535.9 | ||
Census subdivision(s) | Brandon |
The original riding of Brandon East existed from 1886 to 1888, when the City and riding of Brandon was divided into two electoral districts for the first time. The city was re-established as a single riding in 1888.
The modern riding of Brandon East was created in 1968, when the City of Brandon was again divided into two separate ridings. It has formally existed since the provincial election of 1969.
The riding borders on Brandon West to the west, and by Minnedosa in all other directions. Brandon itself is the second-largest city in Manitoba (after Winnipeg), and is in the southwestern region of the province.
Brandon East's population in 1996 was 19,850. In 1999, the average family income was $40,233, and the unemployment rate was 8.60%. The service sector accounts for 19% of the riding's industry, followed by retail trade at 15% and health and social services at 14%. Eleven per cent of the riding's residents are aboriginal.
Brandon East had been a safe seat for the New Democratic Party since its re-creation. This changed at the 2016 election, in which Progressive Conservative candidate Len Isleifson defeated the NDP incumbent Drew Caldwell.
At the 2015 Canadian federal election, according to data from Elections Canada, Brandon East voted heavily Liberal.[1] A provincial riding opinion poll in December 2015 showed Brandon East to be a marginal seat between the Conservative and Liberal parties, with the NDP trailing a poor third.[2]
Assembly | Years | Member | Party | |
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6th | 1886–1888 | James A. Smart | Liberal | |
Riding abolished, 1888–1969 | ||||
29th | 1969–1973 | Len Evans | New Democratic | |
30th | 1973–1977 | |||
31st | 1977–1981 | |||
32nd | 1981–1986 | |||
33rd | 1986–1988 | |||
34th | 1988–1990 | |||
35th | 1990–1995 | |||
36th | 1995–1999 | |||
37th | 1999–2003 | Drew Caldwell | ||
38th | 2003–2007 | |||
39th | 2007–2011 | |||
40th | 2011–2016 | |||
41st | 2016–2019 | Len Isleifson | Progressive Conservative | |
42nd | 2019–present |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | NDP | PC | Liberal | Green | Other |
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Probe Research Inc | December 19, 2015 | 18 | 41 | 38 | 3 | ||
Probe Research Inc | January, 2015 | 28 | 40 | 26 | 6 | ||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |||
Progressive Conservative | Len Isleifson | 3,272 | 51.3% | -0.86 | $36,318.38 | |||
New Democratic | Lonnie Patterson | 2,311 | 36.2% | +0.17 | $18,637.37 | |||
Liberal | Kim Longstreet | 788 | 12.5% | +0.70 | $3,151.46 | |||
Total valid votes/expense limit | 6,529 | 100.0 | – | $47,973 | ||||
Source: Elections Manitoba[3][4][5] |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |||
Progressive Conservative | Len Isleifson | 3,669 | 52.16 | +13.61 | $36,772.89 | |||
New Democratic | Drew Caldwell | 2,534 | 36.03 | -18.92 | $12,132.70 | |||
Liberal | Vanessa Hamilton | 830 | 11.80 | +7.82 | $2,810.27 | |||
Total valid votes/expense limit | 7,033 | 100.0 | $ | |||||
Eligible voters | – | |||||||
Source: Elections Manitoba[6][7][8] |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |||
New Democratic | Drew Caldwell | 3,864 | 54.95 | $14,503.88 | ||||
Progressive Conservative | Mike Waddell | 2,711 | 38.55 | $26,300.48 | ||||
Liberal | Shaun Cameron | 280 | 3.98 | $1,479.21 | ||||
Green | Vanda Fleury | 177 | 2.52 | $0.00 | ||||
Total valid votes | 7,032 | 100.00 | ||||||
Rejected and declined votes | 35 | 0.50 | ||||||
Turnout | 7,067 | 53.12 | ||||||
Electors on the lists | 13,305 | |||||||
Source: Elections Manitoba[9] |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |||
New Democratic | Drew Caldwell | 3,760 | 53.95 | −8.09 | $19,216.70 | |||
Progressive Conservative | Mike Waddell | 2,655 | 38.10 | +5.46 | $26,503.06 | |||
Liberal | Cheryl Burke | 554 | 7.95 | +3.56 | $5,462.24 | |||
Total valid votes | 6,969 | 100.00 | ||||||
Rejected and declined votes | 31 | |||||||
Turnout | 7,000 | 58.72 | +6.06 | |||||
Electors on the lists | 11,921 | |||||||
Source: Elections Manitoba[11] |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |||
New Democratic | Drew Caldwell | 3,870 | 62.04 | +0.76 | $14,549.00 | |||
Progressive Conservative | Greg Dinsdale | 2,036 | 32.64 | +6.30 | $13,316.52 | |||
Liberal | Scott Brigden | 274 | 4.39 | −1.35 | $1,771.36 | |||
Communist | Lisa Gallagher | 58 | 0.93 | $436.91 | ||||
Total valid votes | 6,238 | 100.00 | ||||||
Rejected and declined ballots | 26 | |||||||
Turnout | 6,264 | 52.66 | −11.69 | |||||
Electors on the lists | 11,895 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |||
New Democratic | Drew Caldwell | 4,840 | 61.28 | $18,137.00 | ||||
Progressive Conservative | Marty Snelling | 2,080 | 26.34 | $25,283.41 | ||||
Independent | Don Jessiman | 525 | 6.65 | $1,040.69 | ||||
Liberal | Peter Logan | 453 | 5.74 | – | $4,017.07 | |||
Total valid votes | 7,898 | 100.00 | ||||||
Rejected and declined ballots | 57 | |||||||
Turnout | 7,955 | 64.35 | ||||||
Electors on the lists | 12,362 |
Manitoba provincial electoral districts | |
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North | |
Southwest | |
Southeast | |
Winnipeg |
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